Top 6 things
which are greater challenges for the ITeS segment are :
1. US
economy slowing down - particularly the Banking and Insurance
segments 2. Lack of Incentives from the Government - sunset cluase
for STPI units 3. Failure to attract and retain top talent at all
levels - Executive, Middle and Senior Management 4. Bad media
publicity - always showing the ill affects of working 5. Failure by
the Companies to project 'careers' instead of 'jobs' 6. Poor
perception by the job seekers.
With so many adverse conditions
will the BPO industry in India can survive ? Only time will tell what
the future holds for this segment.
Here is a good write up on
the challenges that are affecting the Indian BPOs and what the
Government must be doing to shore up the environment for doing
business in ITeS.
At a recent breakfast
meeting The Economic Times organised in Delhi days after the Budget
where the finance minister addressed select CEOs and spoke about his
vision for the economy and India Inc., Raman Roy, widely regarded as
the father of Indian BPO industry, and the chairman of Quattro BPO
raised a question that’s been giving Indian BPO honchos sleepless
nights.
The query was about the government’s unwillingness to
extend the STPI tax holiday for BPO units beyond 2009. Roy’s
contention was that the decision would saw-off India’s competitive
advantage in the business. Even before Roy could finish his question,
the FM flipped through his yellow Budget booklet and rattled off the
numbers to suggest that the BPOs shouldn’t be crying foul just yet.
“5525 BPO firms in India paid a tax of Rs 1352.9 crore on earnings
of Rs 18391.3 crore at the rate of 7.36%. If you think that’s high,
then.., ” the FM trailed off with a characteristic smirk. The BPO
companies estimate that the effective rate of tax post the tax
exemption era will be in excess of 20% putting their margins under
extreme pressure.
After the FM made an exit, the BPO honchos
present at the event sounded rather miffed by his response, and many
privately exchanged notes about the near unviability of doing business
in India. “Other countries like The Philippines are rolling out the
red carpet of BPOs providing us world class infrastructure, investing
in human resource and offering 10-year tax breaks. Here we grapple
with poor infrastructure, produce our own power, spend on transporting
people, and now there’s not even the incentive of low taxes. Does it
make sense to be in India? Surely not,” railed one high-profile BPO
chief.
But that’s just one part of the three pronged attack
India’s $11-billion BPO industry is facing. The fears of a prolonged
global recession and the particularly messy state the US financial
services sector—the lifeblood of BPOs—is currently in, the
notso-friendly domestic policy environment , the rising Rupee and
worsening infrastructure pose a serious threat to Nasscom’s
prediction about the industry growing five fold to $50 billion by
2012. Did you say the pigs might fly?
“The Indian BPO
industry is at an inflection point. The challenge for them is how to
move from the tried and tested labour arbitrage model to value added
services. The larger players seem to have understood that, but
there’s a lot of pain in store for the smaller ones,” says TJ
Singh, research director, Gartner.
On a day when JP Morgan was
set to acquire investment banking giant Bear Sterns in a basement
bargain deal worth $270 million, Raman Roy is busy exchanging
near-panic BlackBerry emails with colleagues in the US, investment
banker friends and prospective clients. Despite joking that his
company could have put in a bid for Bear Sterns at that going rate,
Roy is concerned about the lack of new business coming out of the US,
at least in the short term. “Bear Sterns was this huge iconic client
for all BPOs in India. If you had them in your clientele, it was a
cause for celebration and would give you massive bragging rights. The
cat is among the pigeons now. If it can happen to Bear Sterns, there
could be several other casualties. Most senior managers who take the
decision to outsource aren’t sure if they’ll have a job,” says
Roy. His follow up calls to most prospective clients in the US yield
answers such as this one: “The business is yours for sure, if I
manage to save my job.”
Sitting in his glass cabin strewn
with cricket and football trophies his company teams have won, Pramod
Bhasin, the CEO of the largest India based BPO firm Genpact bristles
at the stifling conditions he has to operate in. “The amount of
additional costs I have to bear to do business in India is massive. In
The Philippines I don’t have to spend a dime on transporting
employees—a luxury I can’t afford in India . The government there
spends $100 million exclusively to train people specific to BPOs’
requirements and we get a tenyear tax break. I won’t say we can
completely shift operations somewhere else in the near future , but it
is a definite Plan B,” says Bhasin. Genpact’s Philippines centre
currently employs 800 people and there are plans afoot for a
significant ramp up.
Back on the taxation front, while the
larger companies are already planning setting up of SEZs on their own,
it is the smaller and mid sized STP Units which will have to cough up
tax from the financial year Many small and medium STP Units were
planning to move into SEZs to avail tax holiday after 2008-09. They
now claim the Budget proposals have dealt a body blow to this plan by
amending Section 10AA to provide tax holiday only for new units to be
set up, under the SEZ scheme.
Thus, STPs planning to move into
SEZs for tax holiday purposes, say they would no longer find this
option logical. “Of course we will go to SEZs in the future, but it
[the proposal] significantly restricts the number of tier-2 and tier-3
cities with a reasonable talent pool such as Dehradun or Roorkee, we
could go to,” adds Bhasin.
According to Roy, the BPO model
that Indian entrepreneurs have created will be offered on a platter to
other countries to replicate because of lopsided policy measures.
“We are saying a 30% growth looks great on paper, but imagine how
much better it could have been. India will continue to remain the
epicentre of BPO business, but only by default,” he
says.
Demographics and the sheer size of the admittedly
stagnating talent pool tilts the balance in India’s favour.
Scalability of business has proved very difficult in markets other
than India. Many companies such as Delta Airlines, which shifted some
of its voice processes from India to The Philippines, have found it
difficult to ramp up the business due to the lack of agents as well as
middle management talent.
“The BPO business witnessed a
phenomenal boom in India largely because of the level playing field.
Startups or the big guys like Infosys or Wipro could play by the same
set of rules. When the 10A-10 B clauses go, smaller players will be
forced to move into SEZs where there’s no talent pool and take up
huge office spaces. Costa Rica, Tunisia or The Philippines offer cost
competitiveness for voice and email based processes.
Even if we
reconcile with the so-called low end processes moving overseas, by
2013 there won’t as a result be enough absorptive capacity in the
BPO industry to take in 300 million people between the age of 18 and
25 entering the job market. And how much of the business will be
high-end services or KPO? Let’s be realistic,” cautions Vineet
Mittal, MD, Stream International Services, a BPO in the ISP and
telecom space.
With customers expecting to pare their costs on
outsourced processes by at least a third if not more, and the cost of
operations going up in India, Mittal says the margin for BPOs could
dip to low single digits.
“India’s attractiveness has
certainly diminished. And if you take away tax sops, it will get even
tougher. That being the case, the growth projections certainly look
optimistic . It is forcing us to look at places like The Philippines
and Srilanka more seriously,” agrees Rohit Kapoor, president and
CEO, EXL Services, another Nasdaq listed, India Centric BPO player.
EXL employs already has a 900 strong workforce in The
Philippines.
Neeraj Bhargava, one of the co-founders and CEO of
WNS Global Services agrees that demographics puts India on top
despite a plethora of infrastructure bottlenecks and increasing wages.
“Also, the cost arbitrage story is still very much alive. That’s
one of the reasons why the Indian players have demonstrated
considerable resilience during the mortgage crisis, and with a sharply
rising Rupee,” says Bhargava.
Bhasin too concedes that growth
rates will come down making Nasscom’s $50-billion target difficult
to achieve in the current scenario, but is sure the industry is a long
way away from being in trouble. “The long-term demand for
outsourcing is not a problem. At $8-9 billion, remember, we are still
under penetrated in the $300-billion global outsourcing
sweepstakes.”
But the industry is putting up a brave face and
is hopeful that once the dust settles down in the US, things can only
get better. “In the Q1 this year we’ve had more client visits and
outsourcing interest than ever before. Nearly 45% of our business
comes from insurance. Although the margins for US insurers is coming
down, outsourcing has become even more of a priority for them.
Telecom, transportation, and utilities sectors are also witnessing a
heightened level of outsourcing activity,” says
Kapoor.
Gartner’s TJ Singh also feels that in the next three
quarters outsourcing will again become priority for US companies .
“There is no doubt a slowdown of IT budgets. But in a recent poll we
found that nearly half the companies wanted to increase the scope of
their outsourcing relationship on mortgage while only a tenth said it
would go down. BPOs now need to think how can I help my clients to
increase their toplines and bottomlines, and not just enable them to
cut costs. They have to shift gears,” he says. Whether they actually
can, is the $50-billion question.
Source : ET
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