The rupee earlier breached the psychologically
crucial level of Rs 50
per dollar on October 27, but later recovered during the day to close
at 49.95 per dollar. Since January 1, the Indian currency has
depreciated by 27% from Rs 39.42 per dollar. The rupee started
depreciating since May this year, when the FIIs accelerated their
sell-off of Indian equities. According to RBI data, in the past
six-and-a-half months, rupee has depreciated by 25% from Rs 40 per
dollar to below Rs 50 per dollar. The depreciation gained momentum
since September, 2008, after the financial blowout in US and Europe.
In
the past two months, the Indian currency has lost 11% value—from Rs
45
to below Rs 50 per dollar. The RBI has been intervening in the
foreign
exchange market by selling dollars, but that has not been helped much
in arresting the fall in the rupee’s value. One indication of the
RBI’s
extent of intervention can be gauged from the fall in foreign
exchange
reserves—from a peak level of $302 billion as on June 27 to $242
billion as on November 27 but a part of this drop could also be due
to
revaluation of the currencies in which the reserves are held. A
senior
treasury official at a PSU bank said that the RBI’s intervention
has
helped rupee to stabilize at the current level. But, as the sentiment
is bad, RBI’s intervention with its limited amount of foreign
currency
reserve will have a limited impact. The main reason behind the
rupee’s
depreciation is the demand of dollar from foreign institutional
investors, who have sold Indian stocks worth over $13 billion since
January 2008. In October alone, they sold $ 3.84 billion. In
addition,
export earnings have been badly hit as the financial turmoil has
started impacting sentiment in the real economy. The trade deficit
widened to over $10 billion in September. On top of this, the banker
said, exporters are not bringing their dollar earnings to the
country.
They are parking their foreign currency earnings abroad in the hope
of
bringing it in later when the rupee depreciates further. This would
then allow them to earn more rupees then. At the same time, as dollar
is appreciating, importers are advancing their purchase of foreign
currency to meet their import requirements. Foreign exchange dealers
also said there is strong dollar demand from oil refiners for making
payments against crude imports.
Latest postings
Pune University to set up campus in Dubai The University of Pune will be the first state university to fly out
of
the country and establish a fullfledged international campus. The
Union
HRD ...
more >>
Special bus lanes on Mumbai's highways Pressure from the public, judiciary and experts to get at least 20%
of
Mumbai’s total vehicular traffic off the roads seems to be finally
working....
more >>
Sir Creek solution soon Pakistan and India are most likely to resolve the longstanding
dispute
over Sir Creek, a marshland that separates the nuclear neighbours on
the Arab...
more >>
Of Locals and Sons-of-the-soil....
The Maharashtra government clarified that the resolution issued by it
asking industrial units to reserve 80% jobs for the locals, is just a
direct...
more >>