The amazing truth of partial Profit booking
This
article is going to talk about importance of partial profit booking .
The scope of this articles are only risky investments where we have
risk of loss . Its not related to Debt products where we are sure of
returns . Partial profit booking is relevant if you invest in Shares ,
mutual funds or derivative products .
What is the main goal of investments in Equity ? When
we ask this question, most of the people would get it correct, Answer
is Capital appreciation or fast growth of money . But most of the
investors concentrate so hard on maximizing profits that they
underestimate risks and
that's
the main reason for most of the losses they make. The biggest goal
while doing Equity investments has to be "Capital Preservation" and
only then you must think about any profits . So the main concentration
must be on "
Capital Preservation" . If you
dont
concentrate on capital preservation , it can erode because of continous
losses and then you will have to try for profits just to get back to
level you started .
Suppose by taking a lot of risk you can
either earn 60% or loose 60% . If you get profits , its great . But if
you loose 60% , then you will have to earn 150% ,just to get back to
your starting Capital . Whereas if you take a less risky route where
you just earn 10% or 15% , your money will grow
slowly and
steadily , it will soon increase due to compounding effect .
We
are investors , we are not god , we cant predict markets move
accurately . We can only avoid bad moves and take decisions which can
help us minimize our risk and losses . We will soon see how Partial
booking of profits can is so important while doing investments .
My original Blog : http://finance-and-investing.blogspot.com/
What is partial booking of Profits ?When
we invest our money and if we get some profit and then we are not sure
what can happen next, we book a part of it to minimize our risk . The
main idea here is that if we gain some profits , we should book some
part of it to make sure that we already got that profit in hand and not
just in mind.
For ExampleAjay
invested 1,00,000 in shares , which grew by 20% in 6 months . Now he is
not sure what can happen , Markets are uncertain and now there might be
40% profit or 40% loss (just for example) . He has 3 options here
1. If he does not book partial profits His investments grew to 1,20,000 and now he can get profit or loss of 40% . let us see the range of his return.
in case of 40% profit , he will get 1,20,000 * (1 +.4) = 1,92,000
In case of 40% loss , he will get 1,20,000 * (1 - .4) = 72,000
Total investment : 1,00,000
Returns : In range of -28% to +92%
2. If he books partial profits Here
we assume that he books his 50% profits . His investments grew to
1,20,000 and books profit of 10,000 , he get backs 60,000 back and rest
60,000 is still invested . Let us now see the range
in case of 40% profit , he will get 60,000 * (1 +.4) = 96,000
In case of 40% loss , he will get 60,000 * (1 - .4) = 36,000
As he has got back 60,000 back
earliar , the actual range will be
if 40% profit : 1,56,000
if 40% loss : 96,000
Total investment : 1,00,000
Returns : -4% to +56% .
So
there is choice between -28% to +96% or -4% to 56% . The good idea will
always be the second option . Because the second option is more close
to giving positive returns . It saves us from risk . It make sure that
even though less , we get positive returns .
To understand more on why avoiding bad decisions is better than making good ones , Click here Let us see another exampleJust before the
NSG waiver meeting , Robert invested 35,000 in options , he was very sure that markets would rise . Just after news came about
NSG waiver, markets were
suddenly
up and He was in 12k profit overnight . This was a positive news for
market and he wanted to remain invested . He was very sure that market
would rise further for next few days and his money would grow to 60-70k
. People who are familiar to option trading will know that 30k can
become 60k or 90k in a single day.
Robert was so confident that
he did not book partial profits .Next day there was Lehman Brothers
Collapse and it was a great shock to world. From next day markets fell
and his investments fell by 90% in 2-3 days . His money grew from
35,000 to 47,000 and then fell to 8,000 in 3 days . Now he was in
27,000 loss .
What if he would have booked partial profits ? If
he would have booked 50% profits . It means he invested 35k which grew
to 47k and he takes out 50% of his investments , He should have taken
out 23k and left 24k invested . In that case even if markets feel by
80% , His 24k would become 5k . Remember here , that he has already
booked half of his profits and his exposure has reduced by 50% , which
will help him in minimizing losses.
Total investments = 35,000
Final value = 23k (booked earliar) + 5k = 28,000
Loss : 7,000
Summary Markets
are uncertain and volatile . If we get profits anytime, make sure that
they are partly booked , By doing that , you make sure that you have
actually got some profit materialised and reduced your exposure to
investments after it has gone up . If your investments start falling
again , you will suffer some loss , but that loss can be
compensated
by the profits you have already booked . By partially booking profits
you reduce you risk for huge losses , at the same time you also cut
your chances of making large profits, which is fine . concentrate on
cutting and
avoiding losses and risk and not making profits . Profits will automatically come once you know how to manage your risk .