The one thing effecting most in our 6.6 billion world today is
Inflation – everyone enjoyed the IPL for a good old 49 days and the
24 day Euro 2008 tournament. Not to talk of the endless debate the
world saw between Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton ( Boy, aren’t we
happy at least this is over !) that seemed to have caught the
world’s imagination ( with or without relevance ) for so many months
.
GOI announced an 11.63% inflation on July 4,2008 – up by 38
basis points in one weeks time. And sure, most of us will think a bit
more about our expense and start closing our wallet a wee bit. And
expenses will take up a little more time for discussion on the dinner
table. Believe me, it’s not a good feeling at all . Whatever
happened to Incredible India and all the many unwanted euphoria we
seemed to have built in the past 3 years?
But this is not the
issue here – the issue here is larger. GOI using the obsolete method
of Wholesale Price Index as Inflation measure that has 435
commodities that does not include many services ( insurance,
telecommunication, education to name a few ) is the bigger aberration
here. Most of many developed countries have used Consumer Price Index
and some Retail Price Index to measure inflation – cost measured to
the end users, as opposed to at manufacturing and distribution level.
So is our Inflation 11.63% or more ? Ask anyone outside of the
Government and they will say MORE!
On a lighter note, I have
found another index that quite closely reflects Inflation – this is
more prevalent in the US, but might soon find it’s way here too: its
called the GSI -Garage sale Index. I have always noted how garage sale
go up during high inflation times.
As for India, we will still
do well and make more marks in this world – provided we don’t
loose sight of our goals and don’t become too euphoric and
arrogant.
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