Is real estate a long-term bet?
Stay off real estate - these are the words of wisdom offered
by investment consultants to the clients now. They are also warning their clients,
who are still optimistic about the prospects of the sector, to tread with
‘‘extreme caution.'' Worse, of late, even some mutual fund managers have joined
the chorus, questioning the veracity of the claims of a turnaround made by
realty firms.
The news comes at a time when most real estate players are claiming that they
have turned the corner with many firms lining up with initial public offers
(IPOs) in the coming months.
‘‘We are not recommending the sector to our clients. After the slump last year,
we now find it difficult to take a call on the sector. The claims made by the
companies, the financials... everything is questionable,'' says a wealth
manager who doesn't want to be named. ‘‘The valuations claimed by these
companies, their land bank, title...these are problematic areas. There are a
lot of ifs and buts involved,''
‘‘If you are buying any business, it should have good long-term prospects. The
business should be able to generate money consistently over the long term.
Otherwise, there will be a lot of volatility,''
Navneet Munot,
chief investment officer, SBI Mutual Fund, says he prefers a stock-specific
approach than a sector-centric one. ‘‘The sector is finding it difficult to get
over the difficult times. The strength of the balance sheet is also a matter of
concern,'' he says. ‘‘Still, we believe that some players may have the
potential to deliver in the long term, but you have to be extremely focused on
the stock,'' he adds.
Long term is a phrase almost every expert uses while recommending real estate
stocks, as these stocks can be extremely volatile in the short term. ‘‘Real
estate is always a long-term investment,''
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