OPEC predicts declining oil demand and oversupply for 2009
One day before members of the Organisation of
Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) meet to discuss reducing production, the
cartel said Tuesday that global oil demand would decrease in 2009, contributing
to an overhang of stocks. As
industrialised countries slipped into a recession, global oil consumption would
fall to 85.68 million barrels per day next year, a year-on-year decrease of
0.18 percent, Vienna-based OPEC said in its monthly oil market report.
The figures stood in contrast to a forecast by the International Energy Agency
(IEA) in Paris, which said last week that demand would grow slightly, by 0.5
percent.OPEC president Chakib Khelil has indicated that the cartel's oil
ministers would decide on a substantial cut of production quotas when they meet
in Oran, Algeria Wednesday, in order to support falling prices and deal with
lower demand.
As OPEC predicts falling demand and rising production from non-OPEC suppliers,
it said stocks would grow in the first three quarters of 2009, creating a
market imbalance that would be addressed in Oran.In November, OPEC had still
forecast global oil demand to grow by 0.57 percent next year.
"Should the world economic situation show further deterioration and the
winter prove to be warmer than expected, then oil demand might show a further
decline," the report said.
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