Can China Be The 2nd Largest Economy?
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Can China be the 2nd largest economy?

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The Chinese economy grew by stunning 10.7% in the fourth quarter of 2009, which may see it replacing Japan as the second largest economy in the world. Bolstered by massive stimulus measures and improving domestic output, China clocked an economic growth rate of 8.7% in 2009, even as many developed nations are still grappling with recession blues.

The National Bureau of Statistics of China on Thursday said the national economy grew 10.7% in the December quarter, much higher than 2009 third quarter expansion of 9.1%. "The gross domestic product (GDP) for the year 2009 was 33,535.3 billion yuan (about $4.91 trillion), up by 8.7% at comparable prices..., " National Bureau of Statistics' Commissioner Ma Jiantang said in a statement.

Bogged down by the financial meltdown, Japan has seen sluggish growth in recent quarters. World Bank has projected that the Japanese economy would shrink 5.4% in 2009, which implies that its GDP would come down to $4.66 trillion.

"In terms of growth by quarters, it was up 6.2% for the first quarter, 7.9% growth for the second quarter, 9.1% for the third quarter and 10.7% for the last quarter (of 2009)," the statement noted. China, one of the fastest growing economies, had resorted to proactive fiscal policy and relatively eased monetary steps to keep the growth momentum .

However, the latest economic figures have also raised concerns that China may tighten the money supply in the coming months to avert the economy from overheating. Earlier this month, the Chinese central bank raised the cash reserve requirements of its banks by 50 basis points.

World Bank has forecast global economy to expand 2.7% 2010 while it expects Chinese GDP to grow as much as 9% this year. Recently, the International Monetary Fund said that world economy is recovering than expected and is anticipated to climb over 3% in 2010.

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