Should you rely on EPS for stock performance?
Definition of EPS: EPS denotes Earnings Per Share. It is a ratio that denotes
the net profit or loss credited to the share holders for every share held. It
is a widely used ratio that plays a vital role in valuation of the shares of
the company.
The term “earnings” used here
denotes the part of the company’s income that rightfully belongs to the
shareholders. It is obtained by subtracting preferential dividends and the
taxes levied on them from the net profit and loss after taking into account
special income and expenses incurred during the financial year.
Also the number of shares issued in
a year can change if a buyback or bonus or rights issue is offered by the
company during the financial year under consideration. If that happens, to
compute EPS, the weighted average of the issued shares is used. The weight of
each share is considered in proportion for the financial period in which it has
been issued.
Calculation of EPS: EPS can be calculated as
EPS = Profit After Tax / Total
number of equity shares issued by the company in the financial year
Unreliability of EPS as measure of
stock performance: Despite being an important ratio,
EPS can be quite an unreliable indicator of stock performance. It does not take
into account the opportunity cost of capital and is influenced by short-term
activities.
E.g. A company has 10,000 issued
shares and the shareholders’ earnings is Rs. 100,000. The EPS here is Rs. 10 (100,000/10,000).
Now the company issues bonus shares in the ratio of 1:1. It means now the total
shares issued goes to 20,000. The new EPS now becomes Rs. 5. So despite there
being no change in the earnings of the company, the EPS has decreased. This makes
EPS an unreliable factor in deciding the share performance.
Also if the company takes a loan to
buyback shares, the shareholders have to bear responsibility of this debt. As
the equity base is reduced, the earnings are affected. Also there is no
connection between the EPS and the capital invested. E.g. two companies with
equal EPS may not have the same level on invested capital. If the invested
capital is higher, the returns earned are more.
|