HYPE ABOUT BUDGETS
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editricon HYPE ABOUT BUDGETS

Every year business community, traders, wait with batted eyelids for the presentation of a ritual called union budget. Media creats a hype prior to this, interviweing businessmen as to what they expect the Finance Minister to do. Just before the budget is presented, the National economic survey is presented which in itself is a percusor for the things to follow. But the survey is presented just a day before the budget and no one is left with any inkling of what is in store in the budget. 28 years ago, VP Singh in Rajiv Gandhi dispensation spoke about unveiling the secrecy behind budget making and talked about Long Term Fiscal policy to ensure continuity in fiscal policies in order to encourage business. The longer time frame of 3-5 years was thought for revision in taxes instead of annual ritualistic tinkering in tax rates. Not long ago, the budget actually showed the receipts and expenditure on capital and revenue account- both the budgeted ones and the revised ones with another budgeted figure for the ensuing year. It has always been the policies of successive Finance Ministers to bridge the revenue gap with a cut down in capital expenditure and reduced budgetory support to annual plans.In fact the budget has no value for invariably Finance Ministers present and get approval for supplementary grants far exceeding budgeted figures with impunity. I believe infact performance budgeting should take precedence with the variations betwen budgeted and actual expenditure should be debated and theFinance Minister should be hauled over the coals if he exceeds the figures by 15%( 10% for inflation and 5% allowance for errors) Any FM who fails to answer satisfactorily the slippages should be debarred from holding office. Then only budget making becomes a serious exercise.

It was during Chidambaram's tenure, Government talked about using a portion of forex reserves for infra structural development based on Chinese model. Infact a corpus of Rs.10000 Crores was created to be administetered by Infra structure leasing Co.

It has become fashionable to quote subsidies as a percentage of GDP which no lay man understands. On the last count the subsidies were around 100000 crores and could swell if the food security bill of UPA-II is implemented. Attempts to target subsidies , cut leakages throgh technological innovations of Aadhar variety notwithstanding, the revenue deficit is always cited as due to ballooning subsidies. It is only partially true. Large scale e governance measures could bring transaction costs substantially which Governments do not actually attempt doing.

This time Pranab Mukherjee has chosen to expand the service tax base and also raise the tax rates for Excise and Service Taxes to mop in additional revenues of 40000crores or so. The Excise rate has gone up to 12% when there is talk of 15% GST being rolled out which leaves only 3% for state taxes. Industry claims that stiluli has increased GDP which is farce. The revenue voluntarily foregone exceeds the subsidy budget and yet the Industry always like Oliver Twist asks for more.

The exempted goods have also been under the excise net albeit with 2% rate( it was earlier 1%) beofre Raja Chellaih report which recommended taxing services, the governments ran huge revenue deficits and even now, with large scale no sharable revenue in the form of service tax, budgetary deficits are alarming. Pro poor measures are cited to hide inefficiency and mis governance.

Disinvestment is not likely to fill in coffers of Government to fill in revenue gaps as expected as the recent ONGCfiasco will testify when LIC had to bail out th issue. There is a strong private sector lobby which is awaiting to garner public wealth for a song. So much for the much trumpeted auction route. CAGmay take note of this. Buy back of Goverment shares could bring in some money but that will choke capex plans for cash rich PSUs.

This budget is lacklasture and is not going to either promote investment nor create employment both of which only will sustain the economy in the long run

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